| hbkta@aol.com 2005-05-07, 8:56 am |
| Tom wrote:
> "HB" <hbkta@aol.com> wrote in message
> news:b901e82f.0504231106.274c91d9@posting.google.com...
> news:<Fgw7e.30515$yV3.18915@clgrps12>...
Knight &[vbcol=seagreen]
offenders[vbcol=seagreen]
analysis"[vbcol=seagreen]
rapists[vbcol=seagreen]
it was[vbcol=seagreen]
the much[vbcol=seagreen]
but[vbcol=seagreen]
>
> No, it's still a matter of "if" for most of them. Learn more about
how
> statistics actually work mathematically. It'll keep you from
deceiving
> yourself with them.
>
I am the first to admit that I am no mathmatician, no statistician, but
having graduated on the deans honours list with a degree in Social
Development Studies with a minor in Sexuality, Marriage and Family, and
being the only one in my class to pass the final statistics exam with
100%, it would seem that I do know something.
with regards to child molesters,
last I checked 52% was more than 12.7%
last time I checked 52% constituted a majority.
when plotted on a graph the 12.7% at 4 years with 52% at 25 years sure
looks like an increase over time. and if the line is extrapolated
reaches 100% at about 50 years. Sure more studies are needed to see the
curve and slope of the line. hey, we could do a followup study at one
minute after release, and probably get a recidivism rate of 0%,
>
> Yes, as opposed to those you only imagine to be committing crimes.
I am not imagining anything.
take my father for example, he may or may not be reoffending. I do not
know one way or the other. But I sure as hell will not leave my 10 year
old daughter alone with him. If I walk out side at night and detect a
foul scent on the breeze, any black, four footed animal with a white
stripe down its back is best treated as a skunk until such time as it
is determined to be otherwise.
> Last
> time I looked, people are not held responsible for what other people
want to
> imagine them doing.
>
that is right. hold them responsible for what they have done.
>
> Which doesn't recommend you highly as an unbiased evaluator of facts
> regarding child sexual abuse.
Seems you are imagining something here. your statement seems to be
based on some sort of assumption. care to elaborate.
|